Headline Facts
1. Population of Germany to shrink by almost 14 million from 80m in 2020 to 67m in 2080.
2. UK population to grow by almost 14m between 2020 and 2080, to a total of 80m.
3. Populations of France, Benelux, Scandinavia and Ireland to grow between 2020 and 2080.
4. Southern & Eastern Europe to lose population between 2020 and 2080.
5. Poland to lose a third of its population between 2020 and 2080
Table 1: Projected EU populations in 2020, 2050 & 2080: millions |
||||
| Country | 2020 | 2050 | 2080 | 2080 versus 2020 |
| Growth | ||||
| France | 65.7 | 71.1 | 74.3 | + 8.6 |
| Netherlands | 17.2 | 17.6 | 17.4 | + 0.2 |
| Belgium | 11.6 | 12.5 | 12.9 | + 1.3 |
| Sweden | 10.1 | 11.9 | 13.5 | + 3.4 |
| Denmark | 5.6 | 6.3 | 6.7 | + 0.9 |
| Finland | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.8 | + 0.2 |
| Ireland | 4.9 | 5.8 | 6.2 | + 1.3 |
| Cyprus | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | + 0.2 |
| Luxembourg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | + 0.4 |
| Nine growing countries above | 122.7 | 133.2 | 139.2 | + 16.5 |
| Stable population Malta | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | zero |
| Shrinkage | ||||
| Germany | 80.4 | 74.5 | 66.6 | (13.8) |
| Italy | 59.7 | 56.3 | 51.1 | (8.6) |
| Spain | 46.2 | 44.8 | 39.7 | (6.5) |
| Poland | 38.4 | 33.1 | 25.7 | (12.7) |
| Romania | 18.8 | 15.2 | 12.0 | (6.8) |
| Greece | 10.8 | 9.7 | 8.1 | (2.7) |
| Czech Republic | 10.6 | 10.0 | 9.0 | (1.6) |
| Portugal | 10.2 | 9.2 | 7.9 | (2.3) |
| Hungary | 9.7 | 8.3 | 7.0 | (2.7) |
| Austria | 8.7 | 8.8 | 8.5 | (0.2) |
| Bulgaria | 6.9 | 5.2 | 3.8 | (3.1) |
| Slovakia | 5.9 | 4.9 | 4.1 | (1.8) |
| Croatia | 4.2 | 3.6 | 2.9 | (1.3) |
| Lithuania | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | (0.7) |
| Slovenia | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 | (0.4) |
| Latvia | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | (0.5) |
| Estonia | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | (0.3) |
| Seventeen shrinking countries above | 318.6 | 290.6 | 252.6 | (66.0) |
| Total EU-27 | 441.7 | 424.2 | 392.2 | (49.5) |
|
United Kingdom (assumed to be outside the EU)
|
66.7 | 75.4 | 80.3 | + 13.6 |
Download Briefing Note: GB Briefing Note; #123 03.04.17