Briefing Notes

/Briefing Notes
12 12, 2008

#53 UK Trade Deficit: no improvement in sight

Briefing Notes|

Over the last five years the UK has been practically in balance on its trade with the world outside the EU, but in substantial deficit with the EU. In the next three years the Treasury sees no improvement in the overall UK deficit with the world. By  Download Briefing Note: BN#53

21 11, 2008

#52 UK plc’s Export Growth is Coming From Outside the EU

Briefing Notes|

Trends discernible in the data time-series set out in the Pink Book 2008 suggest that, by the end of the next Parliament, around two-thirds of British exports will be going outside EU-26 •  The proportion of UK exports going to the other 26 EU countries is shrinking. •  The proportion of UK exports going to the other [...]

18 09, 2008

#51 Contracting EU Market for British Exporters

Briefing Notes|

The European Commission’s latest demographic projections go out to 2060. They suggest that, for UK exporters, the rest of the EU will be a sharply-contracting market, with shrinkage comparable to “losing” the whole of Germany. The USA, in contrast, will be an expanding market. •  A good proxy for the productive potential of the population is “WAP” [...]

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